The Amazon Rainforest: Now a Carbon Source, Not a Sink

Once the Earth's critical carbon sink, the Amazon Rainforest is now emitting more carbon than it absorbs—a warning sign for our planet.

By Sneha Tete, Integrated MA, Certified Relationship Coach
Created on

The Amazon Rainforest: A Critical Shift in Earth’s Lungs

The Amazon Rainforest has long been known as the ‘lungs of the Earth,’ playing a pivotal role in absorbing carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. However, recent scientific studies reveal a troubling reversal: parts of this vital ecosystem now emit more CO2 than they absorb. This transformation poses profound risks for global climate stability and highlights the urgent need for conservation efforts.

Understanding the Amazon’s Carbon Cycle

Forests act as carbon sinks by absorbing CO2 through photosynthesis and storing it in trunks, branches, leaves, and roots. In healthy ecosystems, this process offsets emissions from natural and human sources. But if deforestation, forest degradation, or fires overwhelm forest growth and recovery, forests can become carbon sourcesreleasing more CO2 than they remove.

  • Carbon Sink: Absorbs more carbon than it emits.
  • Carbon Source: Emits more carbon than it absorbs.

Traditionally, the Amazon’s dense forests have absorbed vast amounts of CO2, mitigating the impacts of fossil fuel emissions and helping regulate Earth’s climate. But recent findings suggest a tipping point has been reached in certain areas.

Key Study: Measuring Carbon Emissions Over the Amazon

In a groundbreaking study, Brazilian scientists led extensive flyover missions, measuring CO2 and carbon monoxide levels across the Amazon from 2010 to 2018. Their data revealed:

  • The Amazon basin now emits around one billion tonnes of CO2 per year—comparable to the annual emissions of a major industrialized country.
  • The eastern Amazon, in particular, emits more carbon than it absorbs due to intensive deforestation and recurring fires.
  • In some regions, wildfires alone produce three times more CO2 than forests can reabsorb annually.

This extensive research, corroborated by both atmospheric sampling and modeling techniques, underscores a dangerous feedback loop: as forests lose their ability to recover, emissions rise, further degrading remaining forests in a cycle that accelerates climate change.

Main Causes of the Amazon’s Carbon Reversal

Several interconnected factors have tipped the Amazon from a carbon sink to a carbon source:

  • Deforestation: Driven by logging, agriculture (especially cattle ranching and soy production), and infrastructure development, forest clearing removes the trees that sequester carbon and exposes soil carbon to oxidation.
  • Forest Degradation: Selective logging and small-scale clearing reduce ecosystem resilience and increase vulnerability to fire and drought.
  • Wildfires: Both human-ignited and climate-induced fires destroy large swathes of forest, releasing stored carbon quickly and suppressing regrowth.
  • Climate Change: Intensifying droughts and rising temperatures stress trees, slow their growth, and increase mortality, especially in fragmented forests near cleared areas.

How Deforestation and Fires Amplify Emissions

Deforestation is particularly concentrated in the southeastern Amazon, where proximity to major population centers and demand for agricultural land drive forest loss. The process unfolds as follows:

  1. Clearing and Logging: Trees are cut, and land is burned to prepare for crops or pasture, starting the CO2 release.
  2. Soil Disturbance: Exposed soils lose organic carbon, which oxidizes and escapes into the atmosphere.
  3. Increased Fire Risk: Degraded forests are more prone to drought and fire, creating a cycle where each disturbance makes the next more likely and more severe.

The result is a landscape that emits steadily more carbon, even as remaining patches of forest struggle to recover their former carbon-absorbing capacity.

Regional Variation: Not All of the Amazon Is Equal

While much of the east and southeast Amazon has become a net carbon emitter, some areas remain robust carbon sinks, especially forests managed or protected by Indigenous communities. A recent analysis showed that:

  • Indigenous lands in the Amazon continue to remove about 340 million tonnes of CO2 annually, roughly equal to the UK’s annual fossil fuel emissions.
  • Forests outside Indigenous areas, however, have become net carbon sources as deforestation advances.

This regional variation emphasizes the critical role of Indigenous stewardship in maintaining the Amazon’s ecological function and the need to support such communities in their conservation efforts.

Implications for Global Climate

The Amazon’s carbon balance is not just a regional concern—it has global ramifications:

  • Scientists warn that losing too much of the Amazon could trigger a tipping point, where large-scale dieback converts rainforest to savannah, irreversibly releasing tens of billions of tonnes of carbon and disrupting rainfall patterns across South America.
  • Estimates indicate deforesting 20% of the Amazon could unleash over 90 billion tonnes of CO2—about 2.5 times the world’s annual fossil fuel emissions.
  • A weakened Amazon reduces global forests’ collective ability to offset emissions, meaning climate targets such as those set under the Paris Agreement become far more difficult to reach.

Thus, the fate of the Amazon is intimately tied to planetary climate stability.

How Scientists Measure Forest Carbon Flux

Forest carbon flux is the balance of CO2 absorbed by growing plants versus CO2 released via respiration, decay, fires, and deforestation. Scientists use several methods to estimate the Amazon’s carbon emissions and uptake:

  • Atmospheric Sampling: Aircraft collect air samples at various altitudes, measuring concentrations of CO2 and carbon monoxide to infer regional fluxes.
  • Remote Sensing: Satellite data track changes in forest cover, rates of deforestation, and fire activity.
  • Modeling: Scientists integrate sample data with models simulating carbon processes, yielding regional and global estimates.

Combining these techniques provides a comprehensive picture of how forests’ carbon balance shifts over time and under different land use patterns.

The Role and Resilience of Indigenous and Undisturbed Forests

Research highlights that Indigenous-managed forests remain significant carbon sinks. They:

  • Store large quantities of carbon in both living vegetation and soil.
  • Suffer less degradation and prevent turning into carbon sources.
  • Protect biodiversity and maintain local rainfall patterns crucial for the entire ecosystem’s health.

Support for Indigenous rights and land tenure is thus not only a social justice issue but a key climate strategy, as their stewardship helps sustain Amazonia’s capacity to act as a carbon sink.

What’s Needed to Restore the Amazon’s Climate Role?

Reversing the Amazon’s shift from sink to source requires immediate, coordinated action:

  • Halt Deforestation: Stricter enforcement of anti-logging laws, coupled with incentives for sustainable land use, is essential.
  • Reduce Fire Incidence: Investment in fire prevention, rapid response, and the use of Indigenous fire management knowledge can minimize catastrophic events.
  • Restore Degraded Lands: Reforestation and ecological restoration can help recapture lost carbon, with a focus on natural regeneration and native species.
  • Support Indigenous Communities: Recognizing and protecting Indigenous territories strengthens natural climate solutions and preserves remaining healthy forests.
  • Address Root Causes: Tackling the demand for commodities like beef and soy, along with global carbon emissions, is vital for long-term success.

Table: Amazon Carbon Balance – Causes and Effects

FactorEffect on Carbon BalanceNotes
DeforestationTurns forest from sink to sourceRemoves trees; exposes soil carbon
FireReleases large carbon pulsesMore frequent in drier, fragmented forests
Climate Change (Drought)Reduces tree growth & increases mortalitySlows CO2 absorption; increases emissions
Indigenous ManagementMaintains sink statusLess disturbance, more biodiversity

Why This Matters: The Global Significance

The Amazon’s carbon cycle directly impacts the pace of global warming. If the rainforest fully transitions to a carbon source, it will make meeting international climate targets nearly impossible and could destabilize weather patterns beyond South America—potentially affecting food security and weather systems worldwide.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q: How much of the Amazon has already been lost?

A: Approximately 17% of Amazon forest has been lost over the past 40-50 years, mostly for agriculture, especially cattle pasture. Scientists warn that losing 20% could push the system past a tipping point.

Q: What is the difference between a carbon sink and a carbon source?

A: A carbon sink absorbs more CO2 than it emits (helping offset emissions), while a carbon source emits more CO2 than it absorbs (worsening climate change).

Q: Are all parts of the Amazon now carbon sources?

A: No, only specific regions—primarily the southeastern Amazon—have switched to being net emitters. Undisturbed and Indigenous-managed forests remain strong carbon sinks, though the trend is concerning.

Q: Can reforestation reverse the Amazon’s carbon emissions?

A: Restoration and natural regeneration can help, particularly where forest cover or quality has declined. However, stopping further deforestation and supporting existing forest health are critical for effective recovery.

Q: What role do global consumers play in Amazon deforestation?

A: Global demand for products like beef, soy, and timber drives much of the Amazon’s deforestation. Reducing demand for these commodities and supporting sustainable supply chains can decrease pressure on rainforests.

Conclusion: The Amazon’s Fate and Our Responsibility

As the Amazon reaches a crossroads, the world faces an urgent choice: continue on a path of exploitation and environmental harm, or act decisively to defend the forests that safeguard Earth’s climate. The reversal of the Amazon’s carbon role is a stark warning—a call for ambitious, collective action to restore its balance before it’s too late.

Sneha Tete
Sneha TeteBeauty & Lifestyle Writer
Sneha is a relationships and lifestyle writer with a strong foundation in applied linguistics and certified training in relationship coaching. She brings over five years of writing experience to thebridalbox, crafting thoughtful, research-driven content that empowers readers to build healthier relationships, boost emotional well-being, and embrace holistic living.

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